EU-ETS: the new structural cost that redefines European logistics

The European Union Emissions Trading System (EU-ETS) has gone from being an environmental concept to becoming a fixed and unavoidable cost within the logistics chain.

From October 1, 2025, carriers are required to offset 70% of their emissions (up from 40% in 2024).

This cost is calculated using a reference value of €71.07/EUA and an exchange rate of 1.16 USD/EUR, and is applied transparently to each route.

Impact by container type

  • Far East → Northern Europe route: €33/TEU DRY vs €79/TEU Reefer
  • East Coast North America → Southern Europe: €58/TEU DRY vs €108/TEU Reefer

Refrigerated transport is the most affected, due to its higher energy consumption and emissions.

Consequences for competitiveness

The EU-ETS introduces an immediate disadvantage for European exporters compared to competitors from countries without this regulation. Furthermore, it is no longer a negotiable surcharge like the BAF: it is now a fixed regulatory cost that must be included in the logistics budget.

Recommendations from AGC

  1. Audit ETS surcharges. Verify that the rates applied by carriers and freight forwarders match the officially published rates.
  2. Provide independent quotes. Separate the ETS from the base freight rate for a realistic total cost estimate.
  3. Evaluate more sustainable options. Prioritize shipping lines investing in alternative fuels; in the medium term, fewer emissions mean lower ETS.

The ETS is not a passing trend, but a new cost framework that demands transparency, control and long-term strategic vision.